The DDIS Intelligence Risk Assessment 2016
The DDIS annual unclassified intelligence risk assessment contains an up-to-date intelligence assessment of conditions abroad affecting Denmark's security.
2016-12-23 - 00:00
The Intelligence Risk Assessment from the Danish Defence Intelligence Service brings
together a picture of the most important threats that may affect Danish national security over a ten-year perspective.
The Risk Assessment reflects the security policy agenda and its main emphasis is again
on Russia’s political and military activities, the terrorist threat from militant Islamist
groups and on the cyber threat. Other high-priority areas include the Middle East, a
region which will continue to be affected by unrest and will continue to generate floods
of refugees and migrants, as well as Russia’s and China’s roles in the Arctic.
The main assessment is that Russia is engaged in military build-up and modernization in western Russia and that the Baltic Sea region has become a key area of friction between Russia and NATO. The terrorist threat continues to be among the most important threats against Danish national security. The cyber threat against Denmark is severe and Danish authorities and companies are facing a persistent threat involving regular cyber espionage attempts. ISIL poses the greatest terrorist threat against the West, and at the same time, lone-wolf terrorist attacks in the West will become a more common phenomenon than in the past.
The analyses contained in this Risk Assessment are based on intelligence and the data have been processed accordingly. The assessment, however, is unclassified and written for the public, which is significant in regard to the wording and the extent of the details.
Every year, the Danish Defence Intelligence Service publishes this compiled and unclassified Risk Assessment but also produces continuous, mainly classified assessments and analyses which, among others, contribute to Denmark’s ability to conduct its foreign, security and defence policies as a sovereign state.
Information cut-off date is 1 December 2016.
Read The DDIS Intelligence Risk Assessment 2016